Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.003775 0.003959 0.004147 0.004354 0.004576 0.004808 0.005067
2025-11-02 0.003435 0.003706 0.003994 0.004324 0.004694 0.005098 0.005573
2025-11-09 0.003283 0.003611 0.003970 0.004395 0.004886 0.005441 0.006119
2025-11-16 0.003107 0.003468 0.003872 0.004361 0.004942 0.005615 0.006463
2025-11-23 0.002979 0.003367 0.003809 0.004355 0.005017 0.005805 0.006826
2025-11-30 0.002839 0.003242 0.003709 0.004294 0.005018 0.005897 0.007065
2025-12-07 0.002722 0.003137 0.003624 0.004244 0.005025 0.005991 0.007303
2025-12-14 0.002639 0.003068 0.003578 0.004237 0.005081 0.006144 0.007622
2025-12-21 0.002509 0.002936 0.003448 0.004118 0.004986 0.006096 0.007666
2025-12-28 0.002451 0.002891 0.003423 0.004128 0.005056 0.006265 0.008009
2026-01-04 0.002413 0.002867 0.003424 0.004171 0.005168 0.006491 0.008441
2026-01-11 0.002346 0.002805 0.003372 0.004141 0.005182 0.006582 0.008684
2026-01-18 0.002286 0.002750 0.003328 0.004121 0.005208 0.006692 0.008963
2026-01-25 0.002225 0.002692 0.003280 0.004093 0.005221 0.006783 0.009219
2026-02-01 0.002207 0.002689 0.003301 0.004158 0.005365 0.007067 0.009781
2026-02-08 0.002152 0.002635 0.003253 0.004127 0.005371 0.007150 0.010035
2026-02-15 0.002110 0.002596 0.003225 0.004121 0.005412 0.007283 0.010375
2026-02-22 0.002051 0.002534 0.003163 0.004065 0.005377 0.007301 0.010527
2026-03-01 0.001999 0.002480 0.003109 0.004019 0.005355 0.007336 0.010707
2026-03-08 0.001963 0.002447 0.003083 0.004013 0.005390 0.007459 0.011042
2026-03-15 0.001892 0.002364 0.002988 0.003902 0.005265 0.007327 0.010933
2026-03-22 0.001867 0.002343 0.002976 0.003912 0.005321 0.007483 0.011331
2026-03-29 0.001852 0.002336 0.002984 0.003951 0.005424 0.007716 0.011878